Avalanche (AVAX) Set for Token Unlock: Will Prices Hold Steady?

• Avalanche is set to unlock 1.67 AVAX tokens today as part of its quarterly release to stabilize and strengthen the ecosystem.
• An analyst has predicted that the asset could hit $130 soon once it successfully imitates a 2023 price move. 

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Avalanche (AVAX) is set to embark on a token release today, November 18, with 1.67 million AVAX expected to enter into circulation. According to research, this is a strategic decision to reduce disruption in the market. In addition to that, this would bolster the Avalanche Foundation and renew its commitment to sustain developments.

Currently, Avalanche’s circulating supply stands at 407.35 million AVAX. Meanwhile, this exercise could subject the market to short-term volatility. In addition, the increased liquidity could enhance greater engagement within the Avalanche ecosystem.

In August, CNF reported that Avalanche would be releasing 1.67 million tokens every quarter till 2030. At that time, 9.54 million AVAX tokens were released to strategic partners, the foundation, and the team.

Avalanche (AVAX) Price Analysis

A few hours after this announcement, AVAX declined by 1.62% on its weekly price chart, extending its year-to-date return to a negative 14%.

According to an analyst identified as Grronk, AVAX could return to “$130 faster than anyone could imagine.”

His prediction is linked to the previous market behavior where the asset recorded a surge of 479% after dropping 27% in October 2023.

Source: TradingView

Meanwhile, another analyst estimates that AVAX could surge by 660% in this cycle. According to him, the asset has a high correlation with Ethereum (ETH). Data from IntoTheBlock shows that the 60-day correlation between AVAX and Ethereum is 0.84. When Ethereum broke out of a falling wedge, Avalanche followed a similar trajectory.

Analysis from Other Analysts

Another analyst, identified as crypto analyst Fabioviriba, observed that the asset is imitating a 2021 move. In the previous cycle, AVAX completed a full cycle in three phases. The first was an extended accumulation, followed by an initial upswing that resulted in a corrective phase before embarking on the final rally. In 2021, this pattern led to a staggering surge of 4,800% from $3 to $147.

Currently, the on-chain activities look bullish as large transactions surged to 671 at the beginning of the month. Meanwhile, the global In/Out indicator showed that the asset was facing selling pressure.

Source: IntoTheBlock

For an analyst called House of Crypto, AVAX could hit $90 before the year ends. Extending his estimation to other cryptos, he predicted that Bitcoin could hit $175k, Solana could hit $900, and Ethereum could hit $8400. At press time, AVAX was trading at $35.

Outside its price analysis, Avalanche has sealed a strategic partnership with Oumla to build the first Layer One blockchain in Saudi Arabia. According to Oumla, this collaboration would extensively support startups and drive innovation within the region.

We are pleased to announce that Oumla is partnering with Avalanche to create Saudi Arabia’s first Layer One blockchain, fully hosted within the Kingdom. This collaboration will support startups and SMEs, driving technological innovation across Saudi Arabia and the MENA region.