Biden May Need a Rust Belt Sweep

While Democrats have been panicking about President Biden losing the 2024 election for some time now, that is not totally rational. National popular-vote polling remains very close, so it's far too early to write Joe off. In the RealClearPolitics averages, Trump leads Biden by 1.1 percent in a head-to-head contest, pretty much where the race has been for the last six months.