Bitcoin ETF Price Speculation Emerges from Tether and VanEck Advisor

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Recent speculation sparked by Gabor Gurbacs, a strategic advisor for VanEck and Tether, has heightened the anticipation surrounding Bitcoin ETFs. Gurbacs, known for insightful social media posts, stirred discussions about the psychological aspect of investment, proposing a hypothetical launch price for Bitcoin ETFs at $44 per share. This move aims to address the emotional satisfaction of owning a full share rather than fractional amounts, potentially influencing hesitant investors.

Whether Bitcoin ETFs see $500mm or $5B flows in the first weeks matters some but not that much on the long run.

What matters is there is roughly $500 Trillion in assets globally that gain access to Bitcoin in both physical and financialized forms. An assumed 0.5% global… pic.twitter.com/LBTHktxeNk

— Gabor Gurbacs (@gaborgurbacs) January 6, 2024

Gurbacs Reveals Bitcoin ETF Launch Price

His proposition of a $44 per share launch price aims to address investor psychology, offering a whole share ownership experience. However, this suggestion arrives amidst contrasting sentiments within the financial services industry. As per a report from Fox Business industry giants like BlackRock and Katie Wood of Ark Invest, are also optimistic about a positive SEC decision on January 10, others, as revealed in a recent survey involving 437 financial advisers, express skepticism, with only 39% anticipating a Bitcoin ETF approval in 2024. 

A Final Step for ETFs, Approval or Denial? 

As the industry awaits potential SEC approval, the final steps for the ETF’s debut continue. Asset managers are expected to submit crucial details like remaining fees and tickers through S-1 filings by January 8, yet BlackRock’s ETF details remain undisclosed, adding to the mystery surrounding it. Analysts predict the SEC’s anticipated approval of the long-awaited Bitcoin spot ETF to occur by late Tuesday or Wednesday.

Whereas, Bloomberg’s Katie Greifeld highlighted the deadline for ETF issuers to submit S-1s by Monday, 8 AM ET. The SEC intends to vote on the 19b-4s and S-1s in the following days, signaling a pivotal moment for the awaited decision.

Gurbacs’ insights into psychological biases amid these debates add depth to ongoing discussions. Whether the market witnesses a breakthrough with a Bitcoin ETF debut or faces another delay, the speculations about the launch price persist, signaling a potential turning point for Bitcoin’s accessibility and market sentiment.

He further highlights the profound potential of Bitcoin ETFs, emphasizing a global asset allocation shift. With $500 trillion in global assets, a modest 0.5% Bitcoin allocation could inject $2.5 trillion into the market, triggering long-term growth and supplementary fund investments.

Notable Firms in the Crypto Space

In the crypto domain, firms like VanEck and Gemini stand out for their custody partnership and filing for the first Bitcoin ETF, showcasing a strong understanding of market dynamics. In contrast, Fidelity’s decade-long commitment to building robust Bitcoin infrastructure illustrates a dedicated focus on cryptocurrency, setting these firms apart in the industry.

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