Global Liquidity Shift Could Hinder Massive Bitcoin Price Rally

Macroeconomic factors pose a threat to crypto traders as tightening liquidity looms. Bitcoin, the largest crypto by market cap, has recorded significant gains since the United States elections, leading to bullish projections this year. However, recent price corrections and liquidity concerns could spell a short-term sting for the crypto market.

The crypto market slumped 6.41% to $3.13 trillion, with billions in value liquidated. Fund flows are recorded in other financial assets on the heels of rising stocks and trader repositioning. Bitcoin has marked a short-term impact wiping out weekly gains and falling short over 5% in the last 24 hours.

Crypto Analysts Flags Liquidity Concerns

Financial analysts at cryptocurrency firm Matrixport highlighted the possible effects of a global shift in liquidity in Bitcoin and other crypto assets. This comes on the heels of a second term for Trump as President and the strengthening dollar. The dollar position has tightened its denominated liquidity, with traders flagging a consolidated phase.

Per Matrixport analysts, the short-term headwinds come as liquidity changes can lead to BTC price movements in the 13-week range. This period clashed with anticipated price upticks, and events flipped positive in Q4 2024. The window for caution creates a dilemma for bulls, highlighting less favorable indicators.

A major concern is the sharp decline of altcoins tipped for a bull peak in January. With total values down 10%, crypto traders will move slowly out of the red zone. Matrixport explained that previous metrics have shown liquidity indicators to be less favorable.

“However, we anticipate this consolidation to be temporary, as the broader outlook for risk assets, particularly Bitcoin remains constructive. That said, traders may exercise greater caution when liquidity indicators are less favorable as these metrics have proven to be reliable leading indicators in the past.” 

Traders Pushed Towards Major Win

Despite the recent liquidity squeeze, crypto traders are bound to have a bullish 2025 based on U.S. macro factors. Anticipated regulatory ease in the country is expected to usher in new inflows. Donald Trump has also expressed support for Bitcoin and other assets, restating plans to make the country a global leader.

Most crypto commentators placed a yearly bull price range between $150k to $200k on the back of institutional demand. The approval of Bitcoin ETFs and a switch in traditional finance exposure rallied crypto markets to new highs with similar growth patterns this year.