SP&R's two most recent polls - one showing Joe Biden up 5 points in March and now Kamala Harris up 4 points in July (conducted July 22-28), suggest the race is far from over in Pennsylvania - and Harris can't be counted out. In our latest poll, Harris holds a 4-point, (47% to 43%) lead over Donald Trump. Among those "most likely to vote," which includes a subsample of 560 interviews, Harris's lead is 2 points (46% to 44%). The poll's margin of error for a 600-sample size is +/-4.0%, so technically this is a "dead heat" race.