When Will the Bitcoin Price Go Back Up?

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Bitcoin has jumped to $92,000, gaining nearly 5% in the past 24 hours ahead of Donald Trump’s crypto summit at the White House. The rally pushed BTC to a high of $92,760 from a low of $87,500, now stabilizing around $91,500. This surge has sparked bullish momentum in altcoins, with Solana (SOL), XRP, and Dogecoin (DOGE) also showing signs of a rally.

M2 Money Supply and Bitcoin’s Growth

Analysts are closely watching the global M2 money supply, which measures financial liquidity, including cash, deposits, and near-money assets. Historically, Bitcoin’s price has moved in sync with M2 expansion, as higher liquidity drives demand for alternative assets like crypto. Since late 2024, global M2 has been rising sharply, leading experts to predict a major Bitcoin rally from late March to mid-May 2025.

Crypto analyst Colin Talks Crypto pointed out a significant rise in global M2, calling it a “vertical line” on the charts—an indicator of a potential surge in asset prices. He expects the rally for Bitcoin, stocks, and the broader crypto market to begin on March 25 and last until May 14.

For example, during the COVID-19 pandemic, the rapid expansion of the M2 money supply coincided with one of Bitcoin’s most significant bull markets. A huge amount of money was pumped into the economy, and at the same time, Bitcoin’s price jumped. People bought Bitcoin to protect their money from losing value due to inflation. On the other hand, when there’s less new money flowing or the money supply grows slowly, Bitcoin’s price can struggle because there’s less cash available for risky investments.

What Experts Are Saying

Vandell, co-founder of Black Swan Capitalist, believes that global M2 movements have a direct impact on Bitcoin. He notes that when M2 declines, Bitcoin and the crypto market tend to follow about ten weeks later. Despite possible short-term dips, he sees this cycle setting the stage for long-term growth.

Meanwhile, Michaël van de Poppe, a well-known crypto analyst, sees M2 expansion as a key factor for an early market recovery. He highlights that with inflation slowing, expectations of U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts, and a weakening dollar, financial conditions are turning favorable for Bitcoin and altcoins.

Historical Patterns and 2025 Projections

Economist Tomas compared the current market to previous cycles in 2017 and 2020, when surging M2 levels coincided with Bitcoin’s best-performing years. He suggests 2025 could see a similar trend, depending on how much the U.S. dollar weakens.

Macro researcher Yimin Xu predicts that the Federal Reserve may halt its Quantitative Tightening (QT) policy later this year, potentially shifting to Quantitative Easing (QE) if economic conditions demand it. This would inject even more liquidity into the markets, further supporting Bitcoin’s bullish momentum.

What’s Next for Bitcoin?

With expanding liquidity, changing Fed policies, and a potential political shift in the U.S., analysts believe Bitcoin is on the brink of another major rally. March could mark the beginning of a bullish phase, making it a crucial period for investors watching the crypto market.