XRP Set for Massive Breakout? Japanese Research Signals Potential Surge in Q4 2024

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XRP Price Prediction Bigger Moves Expected Next Week; Bulls Gearing Up to Reclaim $1 But is $57 Possible

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XRP, the seventh-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, is gaining attention as new research from Japan indicates a potential period of heightened volatility in Q4 2024. This price volatility could trigger a significant surge for XRP, sparking discussions about the potential for one of its biggest price breakouts in history.

XRP Price Set for Surge

According to a recent report from Japanese blockchain firm HashHub, XRP might be heading toward a period of increased volatility in Q4 2024. This research indicates that this volatility could potentially trigger a significant price surge for XRP, echoing patterns observed in the past. 

XRP Market Price

Violin Plots
(great for data junkies)
XRP violin plots suggest a period of relative stability with key support levels holding firm.
👉Components :
Violin Shape: Each quarter is represented by a violin-shaped plot. The width of the shape at different price levels… pic.twitter.com/La6Hgzg3yZ

🌸Crypto Eri 🪝Carpe Diem (@sentosumosaba) August 17, 2024

Throughout 2023 & the first half of 2024, XRP showed notable stability, consistently holding strong support levels, particularly around the $0.52 mark. Despite some minor fluctuations, XRP maintained its position above these key levels.

In Q3 2023, XRP’s mean price was $0.574, with a median of $0.521. The following quarter saw a bullish trend, with the mean price rising to $0.593 and the median to $0.613, indicating increased volatility and rapid price spikes.

XRP In the Consolidation Phase

However, as 2024 progressed, XRP entered a consolidation phase. In Q1 2024, the mean and median prices slightly adjusted to $0.577 and $0.575, respectively. By Q2 2024, a downward trend emerged, with the mean price dropping to $0.523 and the median to $0.518, signaling a loss of momentum.

Data from Santiment supports this analysis, noting that a rise in XRP’s 4-week volatility has historically coincided with price spikes. In December 2017, a volatility increase to 0.62 led to XRP’s monumental surge, while in April 2021, a similar rise to 0.47 coincided with XRP’s price rally to $1.96.

XRP’s Price Analysis

Further analysis of XRP’s weekly Historical Volatility (HV) suggests that XRP’s price could be poised for a rise. The HV indicator, which measures how much XRP’s price fluctuates over time, shows that while XRP’s current volatility is low, historical data indicates that spikes in this metric often lead to price increases. 

For example, a sharp rise in XRP’s HV in September 2022 led to a 37% price jump within just one week. A similar pattern occurred in July 2023, resulting in a 59% rally.

As of now, XRP price is trading at $0.58, reflecting a surge of 2.7% seen in the last 24 hours. Meanwhile, XRP trading volume has seen a surge of 137% with a market cap of $32.7 billion. 

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