XRP Spot ETF on the Horizon? Experts Predict 80% Approval Odds in 2025

• The approval of XRP ETFs may be on the horizon in 2025, driven by Donald Trump’s pro-crypto administration.
• Analysts suggest that while Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs currently dominate the market, there is a burgeoning demand for ETFs linked to other cryptocurrencies like XRP.

2024 proved to be a significant year for the cryptocurrency market, particularly for Bitcoin and Ethereum. Both received Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) approvals from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), a move that opened the doors for institutional investors. These approvals contributed to a substantial 98.13% growth in the overall cryptocurrency market cap in 2024.

Looking ahead, industry experts predict a high probability of XRP Spot ETFs receiving approval in 2025. Polymarket data indicates an 82% probability that U.S. regulators will approve an XRP ETF. Additionally, Canadian securities regulators are currently reviewing Purpose Investments’ preliminary prospectus for the worldwide debut of an XRP ETF. 

This optimism stems from expected regulatory changes and a potentially more crypto-friendly administration under President Donald Trump. Institutional investors are eager to launch XRP Spot ETFs, and the SEC is currently reviewing multiple applications unlike in Gary Gensler’s administration as SEC chair where they were overlooked.

Several asset management firms, including 21Shares, Bitwise, WisdomTree, and Canary Capital, have filed applications with the SEC. The latest and largest contender is Grayscale, which seeks to convert its XRP Trust into an ETF. This strategy aligns with Grayscale’s previous moves in successfully launching Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs.

XRP’s Future Remains Promising

Ryan Rasmussen, the Head of Research at Bitwise Invest, stated in an X post that leading institutional investors are closely monitoring XRP’s development. Ryan further praised XRP for its strong brand recognition, noting that it has endured multiple boom-and-bust cycles over the past decade.

Furthermore, XRP has strategically positioned itself as a bridge currency, appealing to institutional investors by enabling faster and more cost-effective international payments. Additionally, its RLUSD stablecoin provides significant benefits to both users and developers, driving trading volume and enhancing accessibility within the XRPL ecosystem.

However, Rasmussen highlighted some uncertainty about whether wealth management firms will adopt these products in 2025, especially since many have yet to integrate Bitcoin ETFs into their portfolios.

The SEC has officially launched a new Crypto Task Force led by Commissioner Hester Peirce. One of the primary objectives of this task force is to define the security status of various digital assets, a longstanding debate in the industry. Additionally, reports suggest that the SEC has removed information regarding the lawsuit against Ripple Labs from its website, signaling potential regulatory shifts.

Despite the optimism, XRP has faced short-term fluctuations. In the last 24 hours, XRP has declined by 5.44%, currently trading at $2.55. However, with ongoing regulatory developments and institutional interest, the future of XRP remains promising.